Ultra-Processed Foods Linked to Millions of Premature Deaths Worldwide, New Study Finds

A groundbreaking new study published in the American Journal of Preventive Medicine has revealed alarming evidence about the health impacts of ultra-processed foods (UPFs) on global mortality rates. Researchers found that consuming these widely available industrial food products significantly increases the risk of premature death, with the burden varying dramatically across countries depending on consumption patterns.

What Are Ultra-Processed Foods?

As defined by the NOVA classification system, Ultra-processed foods are industrial formulations made primarily from food-derived substances and additives with little to no whole foods. These products are typically energy-dense but nutritionally poor, and designed to be highly palatable, convenient, and inexpensive. Examples include packaged snacks, sugary drinks, instant noodles, and many ready-to-eat meals.

The Study’s Key Findings

The international research team, led by Dr. Eduardo A.F. Nilson from Brazil’s Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, conducted a dose-response meta-analysis of observational cohort studies involving nearly 240,000 participants. They discovered that for every 10% increase in ultra-processed food consumption (as a percentage of total energy intake), the risk of premature death rises by approximately 3%.

When applying these findings to eight countries with different UPF consumption patterns, the researchers estimated that between 4% and 14% of all premature deaths could be attributed to ultra-processed foods.

Country-by-Country Impact

The study examined eight countries representing a spectrum of UPF consumption patterns:

  • Low consumption (under 20% of total energy intake): Colombia (15%) and Brazil (17.4%)
  • Intermediate consumption (20-30%): Chile (22.8%) and Mexico (24.9%)
  • High consumption (over 30%): Australia (37.5%), Canada (43.7%), United Kingdom (53.4%), and United States (54.5%)

The estimated percentage of premature deaths attributable to UPF consumption mirrored these patterns, ranging from approximately 4% in Colombia to 14% in the United Kingdom and the United States. In absolute numbers, this translates to an estimated 124,000 premature deaths annually in the US alone.

Why Are Ultra-Processed Foods Harmful?

While the exact mechanisms aren’t fully understood, researchers believe several factors may contribute to UPFs’ negative health effects:

  1. Displacement of nutritious whole foods in the diet
  2. Poor nutritional quality (high in calories, sugar, unhealthy fats, and salt)
  3. Presence of food additives and other industrial ingredients
  4. Physical structure and hyperpalatability that may lead to overconsumption

Previous research has linked high UPF consumption to increased risk of obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, certain cancers, and various other health conditions.

What Can Be Done?

The researchers emphasize that reducing UPF consumption requires coordinated policy approaches, including:

  • Updated dietary guidelines that consider food processing levels
  • Regulation of food marketing, especially to children
  • Front-of-package nutritional labeling
  • Fiscal policies like subsidies for fresh foods and taxes on ultra-processed products
  • Creating healthier food environments in schools and workplaces

The Global Context

Perhaps most concerning is the trend of increasing UPF consumption worldwide. While these products already dominate food supplies in high-income countries, consumption is rising rapidly in middle and low-income nations as traditional diets are gradually replaced.

Children and adolescents often consume proportionally more UPFs than adults, potentially setting the stage for greater health risks as they age.

This comprehensive study provides strong evidence that ultra-processed foods represent a significant public health challenge requiring urgent attention from policymakers, health professionals, and consumers alike.

Reference: Nilson EAF, Delpino FM, Batis C, Machado PP, Moubarac JC, Cediel G, Corvalan C, Ferrari G, Rauber F, Martinez-Steele E, da Costa Louzada ML, Levy RB, Monteiro CA, Rezende LFM. Premature Mortality Attributable to Ultraprocessed Food Consumption in 8 Countries. Am J Prev Med. 2025;000(000):1-9.